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| 注册日期：2002-04-15 |
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6月6日，纽约时报，
Poll: NYers Split on Clinton Book, Future
ALBANY -- Days before Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton releases her White House memoir, New Yorkers are divided over whether she wrote the book for cash, for an Oval Office of her own, or to tell her side of her tumultuous eight years as first lady.
Clinton's 562-page book, "Living History," comes out Monday. The volume offers a blistering indictment of former President Clinton's behavior with Monica Lewinsky and his lying about the affair, and talks about Clinton's role in her husband's administration.
The Associated Press received an advance copy of the book.
The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll released Thursday also found Clinton would lose a hypothetical Senate race against Republican Rudolph Giuliani, trailing 2-1 in heavily Republican upstate and in the New York City suburbs.
Clinton's book has prompted the usual split view of the first-term Democratic senator. The poll found 33 percent of New Yorkers thought she was motivated to write it for the book's multimillion dollar payoff, 28 percent think it is a step for her own presidential run someday, and 27 percent believe she did it to tell her side of the story.
The book answers some questions plaguing Clinton since she was first lady, specifically her relationship with her husband, President Bill Clinton, and his sex scandals, as well as her role in the administration. But those revelations may not change many peoples' minds, said Marist pollster Lee Miringoff.
"It's not likely to move numbers tremendously, the idea being that it's very hard to have a second chance at making a first impression," Miringoff said. Still, "This is the kind of attention that's the envy of politicians. She is commanding center stage, the national spotlight, once again."
The book, however, is likely to have some effect on her next campaign, whichever office she seeks, Miringoff said.
"It gives her the opportunity in the next Clinton race to say, `I said that in the book,' and move on ... so she doesn't have to dip back into the past," Miringoff said.
That next campaign is also likely to benefit from the book financially. Clinton, who already commands one of the biggest campaign funds in the country, will continue to take in cash for her next campaign even as other Democrats try to compete with her for funds and attention.
"It's Clinton mania strikes again," Miringoff said. "But certainly some of the Democratic candidates who are running this time, struggling to get some attention, this doesn't come as welcome news. And of course there's Bill Clinton's book coming around the bend."
Former New York City Mayor Giuliani is one of the few who can consistently compete for that attention. The poll shows the Republican, out of office because of term limits, would get 56 percent of the New York vote compared to Clinton's 39 percent.
Giuliani is showing no interest in that race, however. In the private sector commanding multimillion consultant fees, the most visible leader of the recovery from the Sept. 11 terrorist attack is considered a strong presidential candidate in the future. He dropped out of a 2000 race for U.S. Senate against Clinton for health reasons.
"Clearly, Giuliani has one good race in him," Miringoff said. "Having been in the leadership role in those tragic days and then not being in government in the economic recession, he in effect has generated strength of leadership without what is now cutbacks, tax increases and with all the things that are plaguing incumbents."
The poll found:
_65 percent of registered voters believe Clinton when she says she will serve her full-six year term and not run for president next year. When she was elected in 2000, 51 percent thought she'd serve the full term.
_25 percent still believe she will run for president in 2004, compared to 40 percent in 2000.
_58 percent don't want Clinton to run for president someday, while 35 percent said they would like her to eventually seek the White House. Opposed to her running are 82 percent of Republicans and 65 percent of independents, while 56 percent of Democrats want to see Clinton run for president.
A Clinton spokesman didn't immediately respond to a request for comment on the poll.
Marist's telephone poll released Thursday of 512 registered New York voters was conducted May 12 and has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
输入指定颜色的文本
(此文由远离尘嚣在2003-06-06 11:44:03编辑过)
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long arm of coincidence here~
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2003-06-06 11:41:34
